Utah St
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 75.5339Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 28-16 906 A Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 22-44 913 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 49-30 920 H McNeese 48- 7 927 A Vanderbilt SEC (10- 3, 88.7) 35-55 1011 A Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 26-44 1017 H San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 30-25 1025 A New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 14-33 1108 H Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 51-14 1115 A UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 26-29 1122 A Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 28-17 1128 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 24-25 1222 N Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 21-34 1226 N Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 57-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H UTEP 28-16 12 19 - -2.00
906 A Texas A&M 22-44 -22 -20 0.00
913 H Air Force 49-30 19 8 ++ 5.60
927 A Vanderbilt 35-55 -20 -18 0.00
1011 A Hawaii 26-44 -18 -6 --- -8.07
1017 H San Jose St 30-25 5 12 --- -6.81
1025 A New Mexico 14-33 -19 -7 --- -6.76
1108 H Nevada 51-14 37 9 ++ 4.61
1115 A UNLV 26-29 -3 -5 + 2.22
1122 A Fresno St 28-17 11 -4 +++ 15.16
1128 H Boise State 24-25 -1 1 -1.71
1222 N Wash St 21-34 -13 -6 --- -6.52
1226 N Florida Intl 57-20 37 5 +++ 9.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Hawaii 26-44 -18 -6 --- -8.07 1017 H San Jose St 30-25 5 12 --- -6.81 1025 A New Mexico 14-33 -19 -7 --- -6.76 1222 N Wash St 21-34 -13 -6 --- -6.52 830 H UTEP 28-16 12 19 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A Fresno St 28-17 11 -4 +++ 15.16 1226 N Florida Intl 57-20 37 5 +++ 9.24 913 H Air Force 49-30 19 8 ++ 5.60 1108 H Nevada 51-14 37 9 ++ 4.61 1115 A UNLV 26-29 -3 -5 + 2.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 28-16 -38.06 13.16 -5.26 0.98 15.50
3 A Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 22-44 -9.45 41.77 5.26 0.98 -2.06
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 49-30 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 0.98 36.19
3 A Vanderbilt (10- 3, 88.7) 35-55 -11.21 40.01 5.26 0.98 -2.92
3 A Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 26-44 -23.70 27.52 5.26 0.98 -9.04
3 H San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 30-25 -30.92 20.30 -5.26 0.98 29.50
3 A New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 14-33 -22.39 28.83 5.26 0.98 -8.40
3 H Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 51-14 -28.49 22.73 -5.26 0.98 34.26
3 A UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 26-29 -24.41 26.81 5.26 0.98 -9.39
3 A Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 28-17 -25.47 25.75 5.26 0.98 60.83
3 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 24-25 -19.81 31.41 -5.26 0.98 -12.30
3 N Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 21-34 -17.88 33.34 -0.00 0.98 -8.77
3 N Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 57-20 -29.13 22.09 -0.00 0.98 43.33
------
166.75
|
winning pts = 219.6137 losing points = -52.8685
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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